Believed but Not Said: Measuring Hidden Belief Collapse in Multi-Agent LLM Discussions
Put ten model instances in a chatroom to settle a factual question and add one that keeps asserting a plausible wrong answer: 44.8% of the honest agents end up holding that answer when asked privately, and 60.5% do with three such agents, against 0.6% when nobody pushes. The authors probed each agent privately after every round as well as labelling what it posted, and the two diverge badly — agents privately held the false answer in 51.6% of turns but publicly endorsed it in only 19.7%, so reading the transcript catches about a third of the damage. Peer redundancy is not error correction: a pair did as badly as a group of ten, knowing the fact beforehand did not protect an agent, and one that publicly endorsed the claim then adopted it privately 39.7% of the time against 2.3% for one that pushed back. If you run debate, voting or critic panels, treat sibling messages as untrusted input, ask each member for its own answer in a separate call rather than scoring the thread, and intervene early: about 80% of the final contamination is in place by round four.