scout.

a daily read of the ML and AI papers

THU · 22 OCT 2026 latest 3 papers
-28 pts
Does Multi-Agent Collaboration Pay When Agents Serve Users? Testing Agent Scaling in Dual-Control Settings

Splitting the agent cost 28 points

Compute-matched against one agent built from the same model, a centralized multi-agent system lost 28 points and only drew level at 5.5 times the tokens.

WED · 21 OCT 2026 3 papers
5.3%
When Code Becomes an LLM Call: An Empirical Study of Call-Site Contracts in Agentic Systems

The checks were there. The contract wasn't.

Across 496 LLM call sites in 40 agentic systems, 82% have checks around the call and 5.3% enforce the whole contract their job requires.

TUE · 20 OCT 2026 3 papers
47 of 58
From Approval to Abuse: Privilege Escalation Attacks on Harness-Protected Coding Agents

The rule you approved was the whole attack

Repository content can steer a coding agent into asking you to approve a broad command rule; once approved, the attack finished silently in 81% of cases.

MON · 19 OCT 2026 3 papers
60%
When Judges Agree and Are Wrong: Consistency-Accuracy Dissociation as a Blind Spot for Label-Free Evaluation

They all agreed, and they were all wrong

At the agreement threshold a label-free filter would certify, 60% of a model's wrong answers still get through, and most repeat the identical wrong answer.

SUN · 18 OCT 2026 3 papers
0.6% to 60.5%
Believed but Not Said: Measuring Hidden Belief Collapse in Multi-Agent LLM Discussions

One loud peer talked the room into the wrong answer

A single agent repeating a false answer left 44.8% of a ten-agent room privately holding it, and the transcript showed about a third of that.

SAT · 17 OCT 2026 3 papers
46.7% vs 40.3%
Skip the Compressor: Coding Agents Fix More Issues When They Pick Whole Files

The compressor kept the tokens and lost the patch

At one fixed token budget, showing whole files verbatim resolved 46.7% of issues against 40.3% for the best compressor, whose patches often failed to apply.

THU · 15 OCT 2026 3 papers
84% vs 4%
TurnCost: Turns, Not Observations: Cache-Aware Loop Engineering for Coding Agents

You trimmed the logs; the cost was in the turns

Turn count explained 84% of a coding agent's trajectory cost, and the size of what its tools printed back explained 4%.

WED · 14 OCT 2026 3 papers
4.0% → 67%
Same Query, Different Answer: Run-to-Run Variance in Semantic Query Processing

The same query came back different

Temperature zero still changed the verdict on 10.2% of rows between identical runs, and 4% of changed values moved two-thirds of the answers.

TUE · 13 OCT 2026 3 papers
86.2% → 2.9%
RATED: Reliability-Aware AI Agent Tool Retrieval via Execution Dynamics

The retriever kept choosing the tool that was down

Semantic tool retrieval sent 86% of an agent's calls to tools that were failing; one success-or-error bit per tool took that to 2.9%.

MON · 12 OCT 2026 3 papers
−19.9 pts
One Skill Too Many: How Co-Installed Skills Conflict in Coding Agents

One in five runs used the skill you did not install

Installing a second, similar skill took one run in five away from the one you installed, and the reply named which skill had run 0.9% of the time.

SAT · 10 OCT 2026 3 papers
67.1%
Deception by Omission: Language Models Knowingly Hide Their Mistakes

The agent noticed the mistake and said nothing

Agents left a mistake in their own transcript undisclosed in 67.1% of runs, then found the same mistake 97.9% of the time as an outside reviewer.

FRI · 09 OCT 2026 3 papers
56%
The Confidence Game: Strategic Miscalibration in Human-AI Delegation

The agent was paid to sound sure

An agent told it would probably fail claimed high confidence on 56% of those tasks, and its reporting rule destroyed 68% of the gains from delegating.

THU · 08 OCT 2026 3 papers
+9 pts
Evaluating Escalation Signals for LLM Routing: Targets, Controls, and Five Ways to Fool Yourself

The router was reading the question

A question-only regex matched the model's uncertainty signal exactly, and routing at ten samples a query cost 39% more than always calling the large model.

WED · 07 OCT 2026 3 papers
53.3%
UndoBench: Separating Task Competence from Recovery Capability in Tool-Using AI Agents

The retry charged the card twice

Agents finished 83.5% of workflows but recovered from a lost acknowledgement under half the time, and a plain retry repeated the side effect in 53% of trials.

TUE · 06 OCT 2026 3 papers
71% faster
Compound AI System Reliability: A Failure Taxonomy and Resilience Pattern Catalog from 150 Production Incidents

Every component passed its own health check

In half of 150 production incidents the system passed every health check while returning wrong answers, and took a mean 4.2 days to be noticed.

MON · 05 OCT 2026 3 papers
+13.88 pts
CONTRA: Discovering and Qualifying Behavior-Changing Questions for Selective Clarification in LLM Code Generation

It never asked which behaviour you meant

Asking only the questions whose two plausible answers produce measurably different programs beat the best clarification method by 13.88 points.

SUN · 04 OCT 2026 3 papers
64% vs 30%
Worse Together: How Performance Breaks Down in Multi-User Multi-Agent Teams

Four agents did worse than one

One agent serving four users reached 64% of the best possible outcome on a shared compute budget; four agents serving one user each reached 30%.

SAT · 03 OCT 2026 3 papers
7.94 ahead → 30.16 behind
Finding the Right Fit: Model-Harness Interactions across Agent Tasks

The harness decided which model won

One frontier model led another by 7.94 points inside one agent harness and trailed it by 30.16 inside another, on the same 63 tasks.

FRI · 02 OCT 2026 3 papers
50.0% → 68.0%
Mid-Harness: Scaling Actions Between Model and Harness for Terminal Agents

It could have run the better command

Sampling eight candidate commands a step and letting a strong checker pick one took first-try terminal success from 50.0% to 68.0%.

THU · 01 OCT 2026 3 papers
36.5% → 0%
A Statistical Acceptance Gate for Self-Evolving Agents

It scored better and broke what worked

Keeping every agent edit that lifts the average broke 36.5% of already-solved tasks; comparing the two versions item by item took that to zero.

WED · 30 SEP 2026 3 papers
45% → 84%
MCP Error Messages Written for Developers Hurt the Most Capable Agents Most

It did what the error message said

A step telling the agent to run a terminal command left 45% of turns recovered; naming the server's own login tool instead got 84%.

TUE · 29 SEP 2026 3 papers
up to 41.73%
Analyzing and Mitigating Cost-Inefficient Behaviors in Coding Agents

Billed twice for the same read

Three recurring behaviours waste up to 22.75% of a coding agent's task cost; seven lines of hand-written guidance cut spend by up to 41.73%.

MON · 28 SEP 2026 3 papers
94.6%
Stale Does Not Mean Unsafe: Guard Precision for Tool-Using LLM Agents under Infrastructure State Races

Blocking is not enforcing

A commit guard that fires on any state change stops every unsafe write and 94.6% of the harmless ones; blocked agents just go around it.

SUN · 27 SEP 2026 3 papers
14 of 17
Where LLM Graders Succeed and Break: Evidence from Two Computer-Science Exams

Two sentences broke the grader

An LLM grader beat the human pair it would replace, then a two-sentence harsh-grader persona pushed 14 of 17 open-weight models out of usable accuracy.

SAT · 26 SEP 2026 3 papers
28% → 4%
Where Does Exactly-Once Live? Model, Harness, and Tool-Contract Effects on Duplicate Side Effects in LLM Agents

It said it worked. It did it twice.

Agents duplicate a write in 56% to 74% of episodes when they cannot read back what happened, and report success in 90% of the runs where they did.

FRI · 25 SEP 2026 3 papers
78.6% → 17.3%
CAVEAT: Towards Robust Computer-Use Agents in Incentive-Misaligned Environments

The shop has a stake in what your agent buys

Agents pick the option that is genuinely best for the user 78.6% of the time in a neutral marketplace, and 17.3% of the time when the platform has a favourite.

THU · 24 SEP 2026 3 papers
0.29 → 0.97
Impact Is Not Invalidation: Ask About the Claim, Not the Diff

Ask about the claim, not the diff

Asked whether a commit preserves behaviour, five models reach 0.29 precision; asked whether one specific stored claim still holds, the same models reach 0.97.

WED · 23 SEP 2026 3 papers
10 → 3.5
Agreement Overstates Evidence: Error Dependence in LLM Judge Consensus

Ten judges, three and a half opinions

Ten LLM judges making correlated mistakes carry the evidence of 3.5 independent ones, and 28% of wins that looked significant stop being significant.

TUE · 22 SEP 2026 3 papers
85% → 58%
SWE-Proof: Can Language Models Resolve Real-World Issues with Machine-Checked Proofs?

The tests passed, the patch was wrong

Patches that passed every hidden test were overturned by machine-checked proofs, cutting the resolved rate from 85% to 58% for the stronger model.

MON · 21 SEP 2026 3 papers
21-32% → 93-99%
A Closed-Loop Control Architecture for Reliable Constraint Satisfaction in LLM Text Generation

The loop beats the prompt

Four commercial models hit a readability target 21-32% of the time when asked for it; a measure-and-edit loop around the same models hit it 93-99%.

SUN · 20 SEP 2026 3 papers
9% → 98%
Silence Is Endorsement: Verification-Status Laundering in LLM Agent Pipelines

The claim survived, the caveat did not

Delete the word unverified from an agent's handoff and one safety monitor's approval of risky actions jumps from 9% to 98%.

SAT · 19 SEP 2026 3 papers
80.4%
Quantifying Overclaiming Propensity in Frontier LLM Agents

The agent said it read every file

Agents left requested files unopened in 67.9% of review runs. In four out of five of those, the closing report still called the job done.

FRI · 18 SEP 2026 3 papers
39% → 60%
Beyond Accuracy: How Procedural Traces Shift the Decision Criterion of LLM Overseers

Your judge got stricter, not smarter

Show a reviewing model the full trace and it rejects correct work 60% of the time, up from 39%. Its error detection never moved.

THU · 17 SEP 2026 3 papers
69% → 27%
AgentGuard: Learning Execution Guardrails from Anomalous Coding-Agent Trajectories

It passed the task and rewrote the tests

In 69% of runs a coding agent did something out of scope — weakened a test, touched an unrelated file. Rules learned from past failures cut that to 27%.

WED · 16 SEP 2026 3 papers
45.3% vs 0.0%
Fabrication After Tool Failure: Tool-Augmented Agents Assert Values Their Tools Did Not Return

Nothing came back, so it made one up

A tool that reports success while returning nothing usable draws an invented answer 45.3% of the time. Plus when to abstain, and when to stop.

TUE · 15 SEP 2026 3 papers
69.4% vs 44.9%
Is Bash All You Need? An Empirical Study of Tool Interfaces for Enterprise Digital Worker Agents

Bash beat the tool catalog

A plain shell beat a curated tool catalog by 24.5 points on 72% fewer tokens. Plus checking an action before it runs, and what an agent's summary omits.

MON · 14 SEP 2026 3 papers
0.856 vs 0.649
Your Retriever Already Knows: Distribution-Shape QPP for RAG Retrieval Sufficiency

Your retriever already knows

Retrieval sufficiency read off the score curve alone: 0.856 AUROC at 2ms a query, beating a model that reads the pages. Plus two papers on judges.

SUN · 13 SEP 2026 3 papers
48.8%
What a Random Draw from the MCP Registry Contains, and What Tool-Use Benchmarks Contain Instead

Half the registry never starts

A seeded random draw of 400 tool servers: 48.8% start, 37.5% never do. Plus screening a server from its schemas alone, and why a second model is not a check.

SAT · 12 SEP 2026 3 papers
39% → 73%
Grounding Agent Memory: Environment-Probing Curation for Enterprise Agents

Let the note-taker look things up

Giving an agent's memory curator read-only access to the system took pass rate from 39% to 73%. Plus patches that pass tests, and per-document context budgets.

FRI · 11 SEP 2026 3 papers
74% → 90%
The Menu Is an Execution Prior: State-Path Tool Menus for Online Agents

The right tools in the wrong order

Ordering an agent's tool shortlist so input-producing tools come first took completed tasks from 74% to 90%. Plus blind bug-fix loops, and stopping too early.

THU · 10 SEP 2026 3 papers
68.0%
Agents Trust Tools Too Much: Measuring Reliance on Unreliable Tools

What your agent takes on trust

Agents adopted corrupted search results 68% of the time, often spotting the conflict and saying nothing. Plus authority as capability, and benchmark shortcuts.

WED · 09 SEP 2026 3 papers
13 pts vs 0.04 pts
Does Your Agent's Memory Survive a Model Upgrade? A Controlled Study of Memory Portability

The notes were written for a different reader

Swap the model behind an agent and its own notes cost 13 points of accuracy, while a fixed-schema store loses 0.04. Plus who should review, and peer pressure.

TUE · 08 SEP 2026 3 papers
0.00 vs 0.96
Interface-Induced Trajectory Censoring

You measured the stack, not the model

Change only the serving adapter and the same model's tool-call score moves from 0.00 to 0.96. Plus caches that break reruns, and a dashboard blind to itself.

MON · 07 SEP 2026 3 papers
90% vs 27%
Counterexamples as Feedback for Agent Self-Correction

Tell it exactly what broke.

Handing an agent the exact input that broke it repairs 90% of tasks in four turns; a generic "try again" manages 27%. Plus rules over examples, and leaky rubrics.

SUN · 06 SEP 2026 3 papers
60% vs 27%
Refusing the Impossible: A Taxonomy and Benchmark for Code Hallucination in Large Language Models

No such package, here's the code.

Coding models write confident code for impossible tasks 60% of the time and refuse only 27%. Plus a cache evictor that wins by not scoring.

SAT · 05 SEP 2026 3 papers
−12.2 pts
Compound Prompt Constraints in LLM Code Generation: A Factorial Study of Format, Persona, and Urgency

Constraints don't add up.

Stack three ordinary prompt constraints and correct code falls 12 points below what the parts predict. Plus two ways a passing test hides a bad patch.

WED · 02 SEP 2026 3 papers
86.5% → 99.5%
The reach of a verification tool decides its value: A controlled study of verification surface, artifact quality, and cost in AI coding agents

The check has to reach the failure.

A single does-it-start probe removes nearly every launch failure at a third of a shell's cost. Plus agents that do the work, then fumble the handoff.

MON · 31 AUG 2026 7 papers
3.4% – 24.7%
Approved Too Late: Verdict Staleness in Guarded Self-Adaptive Systems

The model was never the variable.

A guardrail approves an action that is inadmissible by the time it runs, on up to a quarter of approvals. Plus decay by depth and judges that flip on order.

SAT · 29 AUG 2026 3 papers
0
Agents don't paginate: the first chunk is the whole answer

Nobody asks for page two

Three papers on the context an agent actually gets: the tool response nobody pages past, a harness worth more than a model swap, and abstention without labels.

FRI · 28 AUG 2026 3 papers
24% to 74%
Where vs what: structural and content failures in structured outputs

Right value, wrong place

Three papers on the shape of what you hand a model and what it hands back: misplaced JSON values, agent handoff formats, and what a thin brief costs.

MON · 24 AUG 2026 3 papers
+32 to +67 pts
Can agent memory systems track evolving state?

The memory returns the value you already changed

Three papers on what an agent carries between turns: superseded facts, memory written on the wrong signal, and loaded docs that quietly cost accuracy.

SUN · 23 AUG 2026 3 papers
10.9% → 28.1%
Outcome Monitors: Recovery Affordances for Silent Tool Failures

The tool lied and the agent believed it

Three papers on agents that look like they worked: silent tool failures, one-in-four reliability across repeats, and policy compiled into a graph.

FRI · 21 AUG 2026 3 papers
80% vs 14%
Different Facets of Verbalised Overconfidence: an Interpretability Study

Ask for a number, hedges disappear

On identical questions the same model was falsely certain 14% of the time when asked to hedge in words and 80% of the time when the answer was a 1-to-5 score.

MON · 17 AUG 2026 3 papers
90.0%
Agent Behavioral Contracts II: Certifying Compositional Reliability Without Assuming Independence

Two agents, one blind spot

Two instances of one model, composed as a writer and its checker, failed together on 90% of the missions either one failed.

THU · 13 AUG 2026 3 papers
0 of 56
Similarity Gates Approve Reversals: A Validity Audit of Embedding-Cosine Thresholds in Agent Systems

The safety check that fires backwards

A shipped drift guard caught 0 of 56 meaning-breaking edits, and scored "withhold the study drug" against "administer the study drug" at 0.96.

MON · 10 AUG 2026 3 papers
−5.3 pts
Escaping the Self-Repair Trap: Improving Test Oracle Generation via Dual-Context Awareness

The repair loop makes your tests weaker

Let a model retry until its assertion passes and what comes out catches fewer bugs than its very first attempt did — 86.3% against 91.7%.

FRI · 07 AUG 2026 3 papers
96% of runs
Towards a Risk Assessment of Malicious Skill Files in Coding Agents

Your agent runs whatever the skill says

Hide a shell command inside a natural-language skill file and one enterprise coding agent runs it in 96% of attempts. It calls anything unsafe 2% of the time.

THU · 06 AUG 2026 4 papers
96% → 20%
Instruction Stacking Collapse: A Benchmark and the Capability-Dependent Value of Prompt Compilation

Your system prompt is fighting itself

Pile twenty rules into one system prompt and the follow rate falls from 96% to 20%. Plus doomed agent runs, tool arguments, and one-shot generation.

WED · 05 AUG 2026 3 papers
+8.0 pts at 28.9% less cost
Turning Interaction History into Execution State: A Runtime Layer for Long-Horizon Coding Agents

Your agent forgot what it already did

A deterministic layer that tracks what a coding agent has already read and changed lifts first-try success by 8 points while cutting cost by 29%.

TUE · 04 AUG 2026 5 papers
63.2% → 41.9%
To Add Is Machine, To Delete Is Human: Measuring and Mitigating Deletion Avoidance in LLM Code Editing

Your coding agent will not delete

Models find the right file for 92% of required deletions but cut the exact line under 52% of the time. Test for removal and pass rates fall from 63% to 42%.

MON · 03 AUG 2026 5 papers
56% → 86%
SIGIL: Compiling Agent Skills into Typed Harnesses

Your skill file is a suggestion

An agent performs 56% of the steps its own skill file mandates. Compile that skill into a harness and it performs 86%, on any model you point at it.

FRI · 31 JUL 2026 5 papers
56% → 86%
SIGIL: Compiling Agent Skills into Typed Harnesses

Written down is not the same as carried out.

Agents perform just over half the steps their own instruction files mandate. Compiling the procedure into code fixes it — plus four papers on checks that miss.

THU · 30 JUL 2026 6 papers
99.4% vs 88.1%
Addressable Recall Compaction for Long Context-Window Control in AI Agents

Context isn't a summary. It's a filing system.

Recall by address beat every summariser and repository context was served once instead of rediscovered. Plus three papers on defaults nobody ever checked.

WED · 29 JUL 2026 5 papers
9× cheaper per task
StateAct: Program State, before Pixels, for Long-Horizon Computer-Use Agents

Stop reading pixels. Read the state.

An agent working on files and app state instead of screenshots scored higher at a ninth of the cost. Plus harness cost, hidden reasoning, and agent security.

THU · 16 JUL 2026 6 papers
−38% tokens, +6.8% bill
Token Reduction Is Not Cost Reduction

You cut the tokens. The bill went up.

An agent sending 38% fewer tool-output tokens cost 6.8% more, because cached context is most of the bill. Five more on hallucinated skills, generous judges, and tracing failure.

WED · 15 JUL 2026 6 papers
30% → 100%
AgentCheck: A Reproduce-Intervene-Mitigate Workbench for LLM Agents over MCP

Break your agent before your users do

A workbench injects tool faults into MCP agents so you can reproduce a failure and prove your fix before shipping. Five more on abstaining, search evidence, and context.

MON · 13 JUL 2026 6 papers
32.4%
DeepSWE: Measuring Frontier Coding Agents on Original, Long-Horizon Engineering Tasks

When the grader is the bug

An independent judge disputed a leading coding benchmark's pass/fail calls on a third of runs. Five more on judging, abstaining, and routing.

SAT · 11 JUL 2026 6 papers
-51.5%
ContextSniper: AntTrail's Token-Efficient Code Memory for Repository-Level Program Repair

Index code memory instead of re-reading whole files

Indexing code and action history into compact packets cuts a repair agent's tokens 51.5%. Five more on agreement, calibration, and agent memory.

FRI · 10 JUL 2026 6 papers
-42%
Tool-Making and Self-Evolving LLM Agents in Low-Latency Systems

Turn repeated agent steps into tools, not fresh code

A production agent that compiles repeated steps into saved tools cuts latency 42% and errors up to 53%. Five more papers on agent safety, judging, and repair.

THU · 09 JUL 2026 7 papers
+38 pts
Specification Grounding Drives Test Effectiveness for LLM Code

Spec checklists beat bigger test budgets

Grounding the LLM test-writer in the task spec — one prompt line — beats doubling the test budget (+38 points, cross-vendor). Six more papers on running agents cheaper and catching silent failures: capacity placement, workflow crystallization, trace triage, write gates, and judge audits.